Even though the housing market is no longer experiencing the frenzy that was so characteristic of the last couple of years, it doesn’t mean today’s market is at a standstill. In actuality, buyer traffic in the Roaring Fork Valley is still strong today.
The ShowingTime Showing Index is a measure of how much buyers are touring homes. The graph below uses that index to illustrate buyer activity trends over time to help put today into the proper perspective.
It shows there’s seasonality in real estate. If you look at the last normal years in the market (shown in gray), there was a consistent pattern as buyer activity peaked in the first half of each year (during the peak homebuying season in the spring) and slowed as each year came to a close.
When the pandemic hit in March of 2020, that trend was disrupted as the market responded to the resulting uncertainty (shown in blue in the middle). From there, we entered the ‘unicorn’ years of housing (shown in pink). This is when mortgage rates were record-low and buyer demand was sky high. Similar seasonal trends still existed even during that time, just at much higher levels.
Now, let’s look at 2023. Traffic is down from the previous month and it’s also lower than the peaks we saw in the ‘unicorn’ years. But what’s happening isn’t a steep drop off in demand – it’s a slow return toward more normal seasonality. As the ShowingTime report explains:
“Showing traffic declined about 10% in May . . . This follows a typical seasonal pattern – disrupted by the pandemic but now beginning to return . . .”
And, to highlight this isn’t a drastic decline, let’s zoom in. Here’s a graph using just the May data for the last five years. It shows just how strong buyer demand still is.
Buyers are still out there touring homes in the Roaring Fork Valley They’re more active than they were in May 2022 (when sticker shock over higher mortgage rates started to set in) and certainly more than they were in the last normal years. So, remember, buyer activity is still strong. And it could actually be even stronger if it wasn’t constrained by the limited supply of homes for sale. According to U.S. News:
“Housing markets have cooled slightly, but demand hasn’t disappeared, and in many places remains strong largely due to the shortage of homes on the market.”
Don’t lose sight of just how active the market still is today. If your house in the Roaring Fork Valley isn’t on the market, it’s not getting in front of all those buyers who are looking to make a purchase right now. Connect with Jordie Karlinski, a real estate agent specialist in the Roaring Fork Valley, to start the process.
STAY UP TO DATE ON THE LATEST REAL ESTATE TRENDS
Jordie Karlinski | September 17, 2024
Jordie Karlinski | June 24, 2024
Jordie Karlinski | June 21, 2024
Jordie Karlinski | June 20, 2024
Jordie Karlinski | November 6, 2023
Jordie Karlinski | October 30, 2023
Jordie Karlinski | October 27, 2023
Jordie Karlinski | October 25, 2023
Jordie Karlinski | October 23, 2023
Jordie is driven, grounded, committed to her work, and passionate about the long-term success of her community. Through her experiences as a professional athlete, she learned discipline, persistence, planning, and attention to detail.